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Economic and political outline

flag Chile Chile: Economic and political outline

In this page: Economic Outline | Political Outline

 

Economic Outline

Economic Overview

Chile, recognized as a high-income economy by the World Bank, has traditionally relied on export-oriented sectors such as mining, agriculture, and forestry, complemented by a stable financial framework. After a modest 0.2% expansion in 2023, real GDP growth in 2024 accelerated to 2.2%. Growth was uneven, with the mining and utilities sectors (16% of GDP) performing strongly in the first three quarters due to resolved mining supply issues and growth in renewable energy. Other sectors, especially construction, grew more slowly, reflecting cyclical adjustments and limited potential in non-mining industries. On the expenditure side, growth was mainly driven by net exports, while consumption and investment remained weak. Real GDP is expected to grow around 2-2.5% in 2025 and the medium term, driven by a recovery in domestic demand and continued growth in mining exports (data IMF).

Concerning public finances, the fiscal deficit for 2024 was estimated at 2.7% of GDP, 0.8% higher than budgeted. Revenue fell short, mainly due to weaker corporate income tax collection, possibly from post-pandemic shifts, and lower VAT from slow domestic demand recovery. Lithium revenues also missed projections due to a sharp price drop. In response, the government cut spending, especially in Q4 2024. The government aims to reduce the fiscal deficit to 1.1% of GDP in 2025 and 0.5% in 2026, although the target seems hard to reach. The debt-to-GDP ratio increased marginally to 41% in 2024, up by 0.6% y-o-y, and is expected to follow an upward trend over the forecast horizon (IMF). Headline inflation increased from 3.4% in December 2023 to 4.5% in December 2024. Non-core inflation drove this rise, primarily due to a 43% increase in regulated household electricity prices (2.2% of the CPI basket) between June and October, following a freeze from 2019 to 2023. The Central Bank continued easing monetary policy, reducing its policy rate from 8.25% at the end of 2023 to 5.0% in December 2024, with a slower pace since June. Long-term rates remain high, reflecting the persistent elevated rates in the U.S. Inflation is projected to return to the 3% target by early 2026, as the impact of electricity tariff hikes fades and service inflation declines.

The labour market remains weaker than pre-pandemic levels. In 2024, employment growth slowed, and labour participation and unemployment rates have yet to return to 2019 levels. Factors contributing to this include cyclical weakness in labour-intensive sectors like construction, a significant rise in real minimum wages, lower labour force participation from seniors and youths, and new labour regulations, such as the gradual reduction of work hours from 45 to 40 hours per week. Overall, real wages rose by 4.1% year-on-year in November 2024. For the year as a whole, the IMF estimated the unemployment rate at 8.5%, with a marginal reduction expected this year (8%). Although poverty rates have seen a decline, with the poverty rate dropping from 8% in 2020 to 5% in 2024, income inequality remains a concern. The Gini coefficient, a measure of income inequality, stood at 0.43 in 2024 according to World Bank data. These indicators underscore the need for sustained policy efforts to address income disparities and promote inclusive economic growth. Additionally, with GDP per capita (PPP) at USD 34,789 in 2024 according to IMF data (the highest in Latin America), ensuring equitable distribution of economic benefits remains paramount for achieving sustainable development and social cohesion.

 
Main Indicators 2023 (E)2024 (E)2025 (E)2026 (E)2027 (E)
GDP (billions USD) 335.64328.72362.24379.15396.05
GDP (Constant Prices, Annual % Change) 0.22.52.42.52.4
GDP per Capita (USD) 16,81516,36517,92718,65719,382
General Government Balance (in % of GDP) -3.4-2.8-1.9-0.6-0.3
General Government Gross Debt (in % of GDP) 39.441.041.641.441.5
Inflation Rate (%) 7.63.94.23.13.0
Unemployment Rate (% of the Labour Force) 8.78.58.07.87.7
Current Account (billions USD) -11.90-7.46-9.92-10.78-11.60
Current Account (in % of GDP) -3.5-2.3-2.7-2.8-2.9

Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook Database, Latest data available.

Note : (E) Estimated data

 

Main Sectors of Industry

According to the latest data from the World Bank, the agricultural sector contributes 3.5% of Chilean GDP and employs 6% of the active population. Agriculture and livestock farming are the main activities in the central and southern parts of the country. Fruit and vegetable exports have reached historic records due to a deliberate strategy implemented in the 1990s targeting the European, North American and Asian markets. Moreover, Chile is one of the biggest wine producers in the world and its location in the Southern Hemisphere allows the country to offer out-of-season fruits to countries of the Northern Hemisphere. Chile’s export portfolio now features high-value speciality crops such as table grapes, blueberries, and kiwifruit, cultivated under precise irrigation systems and innovative agronomic practices in the Central Valley. In 2024, fruit exports drove Chile’s agricultural sector to record highs, surpassing USD 7 billion, up 20% from 2023. Cherries led with over USD 3.5 billion, followed by table grapes at over USD 1 billion (data National Statistics Institute – INE).

Chile is among the most industrialised countries in Latin America and some of its key industries include mining (copper, coal and nitrate), manufactured products (food processing, chemicals, wood) and agriculture (fishing, viticulture and fruit). Overall, the industrial sector in Chile contributes 29.7% of GDP and employs 22% of the working population. The mining sector is one of the pillars of the Chilean economy, mainly due to large amounts of copper reserves, which make Chile the world's largest copper producer, responsible for over 1/3 of the global copper output. Chile's industrial production index rose 1.1% in 2024, driven by gains in mining and manufacturing (data INE). Mining output increased by 2.2%, boosted by higher copper extraction and processing. Manufacturing grew 0.6%, mainly from increased paper and paper product production. In contrast, the electricity, gas, and water index fell 0.7% from November 2023 due to declines in two of its three components.

The services sector contributes 56.9% of GDP and employs around 72% of the population. The sector has been consistently growing in recent decades, reinforced by the rapid development of communication and information technology, access to education and an increase in specialist skills and knowledge among the workforce. Among the highest-growing sectors in recent years are tourism, retail and telecommunications. In 2024, Chile welcomed over 5.2 million foreign tourists, up 40.4% from 2023 and 15.96% above pre-pandemic levels in 2019, according to the Tourism Undersecretariat. Official governmental figures show that, in Q1 2024, Chile’s service exports hit a record USD 674 million, up 42.7% from the previous year. Key sectors included online gaming, animation, remote education, and specialized services for mining, agriculture, industry, architecture, and banking. IT consulting led the sector, making up 44% of total service exports.

 
Breakdown of Economic Activity By Sector Agriculture Industry Services
Employment By Sector (in % of Total Employment) 6.2 22.1 71.7
Value Added (in % of GDP) 3.5 29.7 56.9
Value Added (Annual % Change) -0.3 1.6 0.9

Source: World Bank, Latest data available.

 

Find more information about your business sector on our service Market Reports.

Indicator of Economic Freedom

Definition:

The Economic freedom index measure ten components of economic freedom, grouped into four broad categories or pillars of economic freedom: Rule of Law (property rights, freedom from corruption); Limited Government (fiscal freedom, government spending); Regulatory Efficiency (business freedom, labour freedom, monetary freedom); and Open Markets (trade freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom). Each of the freedoms within these four broad categories is individually scored on a scale of 0 to 100. A country’s overall economic freedom score is a simple average of its scores on the 10 individual freedoms.

Score:
75,2/100
World Rank:
19
Regional Rank:
2



 

Business environment ranking

Definition:

The business rankings model measures the quality or attractiveness of the business environment in the 82 countries covered by The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Country Forecast reports. It examines ten separate criteria or categories, covering the political environment, the macroeconomic environment, market opportunities, policy towards free enterprise and competition, policy towards foreign investment, foreign trade and exchange controls, taxes, financing, the labour market and infrastructure.

Score:
7.65/10
World Rank:
19/82

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit - Business Environment Rankings 2020-2024

 

Country Risk

See the country risk analysis provided by Coface.

 

Sources of General Economic Information

Ministries
Official Government website - list of ministries and public institutions (in Spanish)
Ministry of the Economy, Development and Tourism (in Spanish)
Ministry of Finance (in Spanish)
Ministry of Foreign Affairs (in Spanish)
Ministry of Public Works (in Spanish)
Statistical Office
National Institute of Statistics (in Spanish)
Central Bank
Central Bank of Chile
Stock Exchange
Santiago Stock Exchange
Other Useful Resources
Latin American Economy News - Chile
Online Economic Daily "Pro Chile"
OECD website devoted to Chile
Main Online Newspapers
Diario Financiero
La Tercera
La Nación
24 Horas
Terra
BBC News - Chile (in English)
The Economist  - Chile (in English)
Economic Portals
Economic information portal of the Chilean Ministry of the Economy
Economy watch
Business News Americas
Focus Economics Chile

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Political Outline

Current Political Leaders
President: Gabriel BORIC (since 11 March 2022). The president is both chief of state and head of government.
Next Election Dates
General elections (National Congress and President): November 2025
Current Political Context
Chile will hold general elections on 16 November 2025, with a potential run-off on 14 December, to elect a new president and renew the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate. The new officials will take office on 11 March 2026. Incumbent President Gabriel Boric, from the left-wing Apruebo Dignidad party, cannot seek re-election due to constitutional limits on consecutive terms. The government's declining popularity—32% in October 2024—makes it unlikely for the ruling party to secure a successor. While Boric’s coalition avoided a significant defeat, the moderate right made gains in the October 2024 municipal and regional elections. The centre-right Chile Vamos coalition increased its number of city halls, boosting Evelyn Matthei’s profile as a leading presidential contender.
The failure to rewrite the constitution, following parliamentary rejections in September 2022 and December 2023, weakened Boric’s administration. Despite initial successes like raising the minimum wage, reducing the workweek to 40 hours, and increasing mining royalties, the government has struggled to pass reforms in a fragmented legislature, requiring compromises that diluted its proposals.
Main Political Parties
After the 2021 general elections, a ruling coalition was formed, made up of the member parties of the two coalitions that supported Boric's candidacy: Apruebo Dignidad and Democratic Socialism.

Government Alliance is a left coalition currently ruling, including:
- Broad Front (Frente Amplio): formed as a result of the merger of left-wing political parties such as Social Convergence, Democratic Revolution, and Comunes
- Socialist Party (Partido Socialista de Chile): centre-left, social democratic, progressist
- Communist Party of Chile (Partido Comunista de Chile): left-wing, communist, Marxist–Leninist
- Party for Democracy (Partido por la Democracia): centre-left, traditions of democratic socialism and liberal progressiveness
- Liberal Party of Chile (Partido Liberal de Chile): social-liberal
- Radical Party of Chile (Partido Radical de Chile): radical, social-liberal
- Humanist Action (Partido Humanista): left-wing, libertarian socialist, environmentalist
- Social Green Regionalist Federation (Federación Regionalista Verde Social): centre-left to left-wing, green politics, sustainability

The main opposition block is Chile Vamos, a centre-right to right-wing political coalition of three political parties:
- National Renewal (RN): centre-right, conservative
- Independent Democratic Union (UDI): right-wing, conservative, liberal, Catholic
- Political Evolution (Evópoli): centre-right, liberal, conservative

Other opposition parties include:
- Christian Social Party (PSC): religious and social conservatism
- Democrats (Democratas): centre
- Republican Party (Partido Republicano; PLR): is a right-wing populist and conservative.

Type of State
Chile is a Republic based on parliamentary democracy whereby the President is both Head of State and Head of Government.

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Executive Power
The President is both the Chief of State and Head of Government, and holds the executive power. The President appoints the Cabinet and has the authority to remove the Commanders-in-Chief of the Armed Forces. He or She is elected by popular vote for a single four-year term and is not eligible for a consecutive re-election.
Legislative Power
The legislature is bicameral. The Parliament (or National Congress) consists of a Senate (the upper house) with its 50 members elected by popular vote to serve eight-year terms (with half of the membership elected alternatively every four years), and the Chamber of Deputies (the lower house) with its 155 members elected by popular vote to serve for four years. Elections follow the Hondt method (proportional representation). The citizens of Chile enjoy considerable political rights.
 

Indicator of Freedom of the Press

Definition:

The world rankings, published annually, measures violations of press freedom worldwide. It reflects the degree of freedom enjoyed by journalists, the media and digital citizens of each country and the means used by states to respect and uphold this freedom. Finally, a note and a position are assigned to each country. To compile this index, Reporters Without Borders (RWB) prepared a questionnaire incorporating the main criteria (44 in total) to assess the situation of press freedom in a given country. This questionnaire was sent to partner organisations,150 RWB correspondents, journalists, researchers, jurists and human rights activists. It includes every kind of direct attacks against journalists and digital citizens (murders, imprisonment, assault, threats, etc.) or against the media (censorship, confiscation, searches and harassment etc.).

World Rank:
54/180
 

Indicator of Political Freedom

Definition:

The Indicator of Political Freedom provides an annual evaluation of the state of freedom in a country as experienced by individuals. The survey measures freedom according to two broad categories: political rights and civil liberties. The ratings process is based on a checklist of 10 political rights questions (on Electoral Process, Political Pluralism and Participation, Functioning of Government) and 15 civil liberties questions (on Freedom of Expression, Belief, Associational and Organizational Rights, Rule of Law, Personal Autonomy and Individual Rights). Scores are awarded to each of these questions on a scale of 0 to 4, where a score of 0 represents the smallest degree and 4 the greatest degree of rights or liberties present. The total score awarded to the political rights and civil liberties checklist determines the political rights and civil liberties rating. Each rating of 1 through 7, with 1 representing the highest and 7 the lowest level of freedom, corresponds to a range of total scores.

Ranking:
Free
Political Freedom:
1/7
Civil Liberties:
1/7

Political freedom in the world (interactive map)
Source: Freedom in the World Report, Freedom House

 

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Latest Update: March 2025